Friends, I developed this personal home defense plan while participating in HQ USNORTHCOMs writing of a pandemic plan requested by SecDef for worldwide use by the Department of Defense. I suppose my friends at USNORTHCOM are busy now. Now that Sue and I are settled in our new home in North Carolina , weve updated the defensive supplies we have in storage here. Hopefully will never be needed. Hopefully. To add perspective, suggest you Google Spanish Flu of 1918 and just scan what you see there. As any medical historian or epidemiologist will tell you, its not a matter of whether another pandemic will come along, but when. Or, as the author of The Hot Zone says in the final chapter of the book, (to paraphrase), when something creates great imbalance in nature, such as over-population, pollution, climate change, et al, Mother Nature eventually finds a way to achieve balance (stasis) again. The most likely way to find balance with too many humans (if not nuclear war...), is a new virus that the human body has never seen. You know what experts think kills off the great locust swarms in Africa (such as youve read about in the news lately)? When those insects reproduce into huge masses, if they dont starve themselves by failing to move to new food supplies quick enough (as medieval armies had to do, which made the siege of a town hard to sustain for attackers as well as for folks inside the walls), typically a fast-evolving virus will spread quickly among the closely-packed locust horde and kill them back down. There are over 1,000 different viruses that can kill a mosquito. Nasty little buggers. Happy to try to answer any questions you might have. Bill |
7 August 2014 Deadly Virus Home Defense Bill and Sue Eckert Why? We’ll obviously seek professional
medical care if we can get it. But
in a pandemic (widely contagious disease on global scale--known on
national scale as an epidemic) that may not be possible. The USA may have a great medical system today
(arguable from many perspectives…), but clearly many emergency rooms
are overwhelmed right now, and hospital isolation rooms may be great
but there are very few of them. As
with the Black Plague in Europe and the Spanish flu of 1918--which
killed an estimated 500,000+ Americans (incl over 30,000 U.S. military
troops)--my guess is that much--if not the nationwide majority--of
infection, treatment, and death from the next pandemic in our country
could happen in the family home, with no professional medics available
to help. It’s a matter of sudden
huge scale (the essence of a pandemic). Thus this little plan. Every family will make its own decisions in
its own home. We’re not doctors,
and we don’t live in a hospital. No
doctor is going to write a Tamiflu
antiviral prescription for us now, in the absence of a currently-identified
flu virus threat. There is
no vaccine for a flu virus not yet identified as pandemic.
There is no completely-tested vaccine for Ebola hemorrhagic
fever virus (named after the Ebola River in the Democratic Republic
of the Congo--formerly Zaire, thus capitalized).
And there’s no “perfect” defense against any particular virus
if it comes into our home. You do the best you can. But if we can pay $1,200/year for home insurance,
we certainly can pay a hundred or two to protect ourselves just in
case the federal government’s over $7 billion investment in pandemic
flu and Ebola preparedness turns out to be right.
It could mean life or death.
In our home, that’s serious business. Supplies (sources: any local medical
supply store has the medically-related items) Item
Cost (as of 2009 when I did pandemic flu planning)
·
Respirator: N95 “positive facial lock” $ 45.00 per box of 35 NIOSH-approved N95
respirators
·
Mask: surgical
8.00 per box of 50 masks
·
Gloves: Dermassist latex exam 5.00 per box
of 100 gloves
·
Gown: impervious (to liquids) 1.50 per gown (disposable; option for washable)
·
Goggles: safety, plastic 3.99 per goggle
·
Caviwipes disinfecting
towelettes 9.00 per sealed plastic can of 160 towelettes
·
Clorox or Lysol Virus-Killing
Disinfectant 4.50 per can
·
Bicycle-hanging hooks
2.00 at Home Depot
·
Fever thermometer
·
Chlorine bleach (non-scented,
labeled for disinfecting--buy at Home Depot, not at a grocery store)
·
Duct tape or surgical
tape
·
Paper plates, cups,
napkins. Plastic utensils.
·
Plastic garbage bags
·
Regular medications,
vitamins. Acetaminophen (e.g.,
Tylenol) and aspirin (e.g., Ibuprofen, Motrin) for fever & headache,
Phenergan (prescription) for nausea.
·
Food and water, esp
salt, sugar, baking soda
·
Manual can opener
·
Flashlights, batteries,
portable radio, candles, matches/lighters
·
Tissues, toilet paper,
paper towels, disposable diapers for babies Notes on supplies:
·
M3G. Medics call the first 5 items above “m3g,” being
the basics to work around patients with an infection that can spread.
A pandemic flu or Ebola patient will be coughing virus-laden
saliva droplets into the air, most of which drop to the floor but
some of which will float in the air. You’ll read, for some reason, that Ebola isn’t
airborne--but you’ll also read that (1) Ebola virus is carried by
bodily fluids including saliva, (2) that medics are always wearing
masks and full-suit coverage around Ebola patients, and (3) that doctors
and nurses are dying from Ebola right now.
Bill’s conclusion: don’t gamble like a dead doctor--treat Ebola
as airborne when near an infected person who can cough or sneeze at
any time. In a hospital, all
these m3g items are worn only once then disposed of.
Not sure we’re ready for that, since we can do things such
as dip goggles in disinfectant solution, or microwave PPE items like
masks for one minute (if they don’t have metal or rubber parts) and
reuse safely. OSHA’s published pandemic guidance (p. 25) is
quite clear that reuse in an emergency can be reasonable.
·
Respirator/Mask. A plain N95 mask doesn’t seal
around the edges. We bought
NIOSH-approved “positive facial lock” N95 respirators (looks just
like a mask—look at the box label).
In a hospital, around dangerously-infectious patients they
use a fitted/sealed N95 respirator.
For home emergency use, some professionals suggest an N95 mask
with duct tape (or surgical tape) to seal edges where needed.
Try to get the infected family member to wear a surgical mask
(much cheaper than N-95), to greatly reduce viral spray in the sick-room.
In 1918, many cities including San Francisco made wear of a
mask in public mandatory by law, with unmasked people arrested. Amid a pandemic in your city, always wear an
N95 respirator in public areas (est. 98% successful against airborne
virus, if properly sealed, and if you don’t compromise it by improper
handling or putting your fingers in eyes/mouth/nose), or at least
a surgical mask (est. 70% or less successful against airborne virus--not
good enough but better than nothing), especially public restrooms
or within 10 feet of anybody during a pandemic. Note: only
two companies (with overseas plants) supply 90% of the world’s N95
and surgical masks. If you
don’t already have them when a pandemic starts, you’ll probably not
have a chance to get them. When
Turkey reported H5N1 just in birds, Serbia had a one-day sell-out
of masks. Theft and black-market
sale of masks will be normal. A wet respirator or mask doesn’t work--replace
it.
·
Gloves. In lieu of disposable gloves, we can also wear
standard Playtex Living Gloves, as used for dish-washing, and dip
them in disinfectant. To dry
them after, hang them on a stick stuck in the ground.
·
Gowns. If we run out of disposable gowns, in an emergency
we can use plastic garbage bags and duct tape. Option to buy washable gowns (use heavy bleach).
·
Goggles. Put duct tape or surgical tape over the goggle
vents, and over any gaps, to minimize air circulating over your eyes
when close to infected people.
·
Bicycle Hook. One for each family member, of squared U-shape. Saw off the threaded part. These are strong steel covered with vinyl, so
they won’t scratch anything and can be dipped in disinfectant. Drop in a pocket and use when away from home
to open doors, push buttons, etc. without touching those things with
your hands. I could get to
my desk at work with this, touching nothing with hands, while going
through multiple security doors that have push-button locks.
·
Food. Pandemic hoarding may clean-out stores. Many truck drivers will stop driving. Many producers of food will curtail production. What we know as our daily economy can collapse.
Have at least a month of food in the house.
Examples: 1 pound of salt, 5 of sugar, bulk beans/rice,
canned and dried foods, oatmeal, MREs (available at commissaries),
juices. You can lose electricity in a pandemic, so don’t
depend on frozen foods.
·
Water. After hearing that a pandemic is beginning to
enter your city, store 2 weeks of clean drinking water in the house,
in case city water stops, or if on a well like us in case electricity
stops. Also store 2 weeks of water to flush toilets
(filling bathtubs is easy for this).
Keep one small water filter pump in the house, like campers
use, to purify bad water for drinking.
Our well level is 300 feet down:
fishing rod and cup for emergency (some companies sell lengths
of PVC pipe for this). Disinfect water by boiling hard for at least
a minute. To purify a gallon
of water, add 1/8 teaspoon of unscented liquid household chlorine
bleach; mix well and let stand for 30 minutes before drinking.
For cloudy, colored or very cold water, double the bleach. To reduce the slight bleach taste, try pouring
the treated water back & forth between two clean containers several
times. Life in the House
·
Security. No guests. Keep
doors locked. Pandemics with
high death rates usually result in civil disorder. Be careful approaching cities--preferably stay
away from them.
·
Heat. In case electricity goes out, and the furnace
stops, think how you’ll heat a room, boil water, cook food, etc. Our bedroom gets warm from the sun all winter,
and we’ll just sleep under thick covers at night. We keep a second back-up propane bottle for
the grill, so can cook outside for a while.
Then make wood cooking fires in the grill, away from the house.
·
Phones and Internet. These services may become erratic,
for lack of workers to keep them going. Keep both hard-wire and cell phones in the home,
in case either system stops.
·
TV and Radio. Expect non-stop pandemic coverage, including
reporting of economic disruptions. (just bought a small wind-up combination
AM-FM radio & flashlight at Walgreen’s for $21).
·
Newspapers, Mail, Other Deliveries. May stop.
·
Cough and Sneeze. Not into hand, but into crook
of the arm.
·
Social Distancing. Try to stand 10 feet from all
other people. Minimum 5 feet. Caring for infected person: suit-up m3g.
·
Disinfectant. Lysol and Clorox sell spray disinfectant labeled
“kills virus.” You can make
an effective alternative this way:
in plastic bucket put 1/2 cup of plain chlorine
(not “color-safe”) bleach in one gallon of water (check bleach label,
in case the right mix for the bleach you have is different). Keep one by the sick-room door. One by the kitchen sink. And anywhere else it might be handy. Use it to wipe-down faucet and door handles
(esp. refrigerator), phones, toilet seats, etc.
Remember that a virus is not a bacteria, although bacterial
pneumonia on top of viral pneumonia can kill you faster (as in 1918). Antibacterials don’t necessarily kill viruses.
Bleach kills both.
·
Laundry. Wash it in disinfectant solution. Dried virus probably will be on it.
·
Washing Hands Correctly. Wash with soap 30
seconds. Rinse. Wash again.
Rinse again. Focus between
fingers, under nails, knuckle creases.
Doing this thoroughly can be just as effective at removing
virus as using an alcohol sanitizer.
·
Alcohol Sanitizer for Hands. These (e.g. Purell),
are less drying than soap & water.
They must be of 70%-plus isopropyl alcohol or 60%-plus ethyl
alcohol concentration to be effective.
Easily and cheaply make your own with 1 teaspoon of glycerin
(moisturizer, available in natural food stores) per cup of rubbing
(isopropyl) alcohol (available in drug stores).
In a pandemic, alcohol will sell-out quickly.
Alternative: 140-proof Scotch whiskey. Warning: these alcohol items are flammable. To use effectively, make hands fully wet
with the alcohol sanitizer (not just your fingertips), rub them together
for at least 30 seconds, then continue rubbing until hands are dry.
Virus Transmission
·
How Do You Get it? Via mouth, nose, eyes or other
body opening (as with HIV). Protect
them from airborne, finger-borne and object-borne virus launched by
the body fluids of an infected person, and you’ve protected yourself
from infection. No mystery here, but it requires a lot more
care that most people are used to taking.
Your greatest risk probably is from another family member. The last place you want to be is in the crowded
waiting area of a hospital emergency room (which will be far more
overwhelmed than they already are today).
Even though CDC says you’re unlikely to get Ebola in a casual
crowd, because Ebola symptoms (and infectiousness to others) usually
hit abruptly and stop the victim from moving around, I’d avoid all
crowds anyway. During a pandemic that’s entered my local area
with significant numbers of victims, I’d wear a mask anywhere outside
the home (think China), avoid touching my face, and disinfect hands
(even wear disposable gloves, like many Wal-Mart cashiers do) after
touching anything in public. Why
get careless in public only to find that “Oops, I just got Ebola”
later?
·
How’s it Feel? Sudden onset of fever, chills, cough, aching
muscles, fatigue, weakness. Nausea
is rare initially (…but can come later.
“Stomach flu” usually is food poisoning--read about how chicken
is processed in this country, and you’ll understand why.).
Or norovirus, which is common on cruise ships.
Common cold usually is sniffly-sneezy-sore throat, lacking
muscle aches and fever so obvious with flu or Ebola.
·
Infection and Infectious People. Typical incubation
period (between infection and onset of symptoms) of flu is 2-3 days. For Ebola, 2-21 days. Flu-infected people start to shed the virus
during the last day of incubation before
onset of symptoms. This means
they can pass it to other people before they know they’re infected--at
work or at home among family members.
WHO guidance says that infected adults shed the H5N1 virus
for 15-17 days after the onset of symptoms, and we know children can shed flu virus
for 21 days. CDC says Ebola
victims are infectious only after symptoms begin (I take this with
a grain of salt…). After exposure
(not necessarily infection) to Ebola, people must be observed (e.g.,
temperature taken twice/day to watch for fever) for 21 days to assure
safety from infection. Pandemic flu or Ebola can cause bleeding from
nose/mouth/lungs/rectum as they attack your internal organs. Blue skin = life-threatening respiratory duress.
Ebola is not a “respiratory disease” like flu, but it can attack
the lungs as it can attack other organs, generating the coughing of
infected blood, per its “hemorrhagic fever” attributes.
·
It Can Stay Infectious Outside People. Flu virus from
bodily fluids stays infectious for 48 hours on solid surfaces like
metal or plastic. Ebola is
reportedly less contagious, but I’d treat it the same. Scientifically, viruses don’t “live,” in that
they have no purposeful movement, do not eat or excrete, and don’t
replicate themselves. They
require mammalian host cells to replicate, by taking over the host
cell and destroying it while it makes new viruses.
·
Airborne Virus. Cough by infected person produces large and
small virus-laden saliva droplets.
Large ones fall to floor. Small
ones may float in the air and land anywhere.
Conversational speech alone produces thousands of small droplets. If you don’t believe this, just Google “cough
photographs,” and you’ll be a believer.
·
Infection. It happens when a virus-laden droplet lands
in an eye, mouth, nose, is inhaled, is deposited in one of these places
on the surface of a finger, or enters the body in another way. Ebola is more infectious
and more deadly than flu virus, in that less of it initially will
cause explosive response in the human body.
·
Watch Your Fingers. Mayo Clinic: “The 10 worst sources of contagion are our fingers.”
Wash them a lot. Ordinary soap acts on the oily surface of a
virus, which is nice.
·
Toilets. They spread virus. Virus departs the body in feces. Always close the lid of a toilet before flushing
it. Disinfect toilet surfaces
touched by hands. Many toilets
launch water droplets into the air, which you’ve felt on your butt
in many places. So disinfect
the floor around them, too. Sick-Room
·
Patient Treatment. Americans assume that magic medicines
will simply be there for us. Well,
in this case they probably won’t.
Pandemic flu vaccine won’t be available for 6 months to a year,
and there is no completely-tested vaccine for Ebola. Furthermore, unless you’re a medical professional
or government official you’re probably going to be way back in the
line for any useful medicine--probably after the pandemic has run
around the world and done most of its killing.
We’ll be way back in that line, and simply can’t count on it. For a flu pandemic, ask a doctor to consider
a Tamiflu antivirus prescription
immediately at onset of pandemic or onset of symptoms, if you can
get near a doctor, which is problematic at best.
Tamiflu is in short supply even in medical
channels, and is no panacea: it
may not affect a particular virus.
It has serious side effects for some people.
We may never be allowed to get near Tamiflu,
either. So we’re down to rest
and fluids, just like “normal” flu except that a pandemic one can
kill you. Same with the Ebola virus, except worse: it has killed roughly 60% of humans infected.
Do not exercise or “fight it” at onset, expending energy your
body needs to fight the virus. Speaking of treatment in the face of a deadly
pandemic, be aware that, to protect themselves and their families,
many medical professionals likely will simply abandon their jobs in
droves.
·
Dehydration is the Greatest
Patient Threat You Can Help With. Oral Rehydration Solution
(ORS) for patients who cannot eat:
1 quart water, 2 tablespoons sugar, ¼ teaspoon table salt,
1/8 teaspoon baking soda. For
potassium, add orange juice or offer small bits of banana.
If desired, flavor with lemon juice.
If patient is too sick to drink, administer to the mouth in
drops with an eye-dropper. No
pee, high pulse (>80) = dehydrated.
Keep pushing liquids--ideally one cup per waking hour.
With Ebola, being so violent, medics use an IV to push the
fluids.
·
Fever. Fever helps inhibit the virus, but dehydrates
quickly. Giving acetaminophen
(Tylenol) and/or aspirin (Ibuprofen, Motrin) may make the patient
feel better, but may slow the body’s defenses.
However, if needed to allow sleep, then use them, as sleep
is important to defense, but give them with 2-3-hour separation between
full doses of the two medicines to minimize risk of a bad reaction.
Try a cool cloth to the forehead for comforting.
High fever over 104 F can do damage, and may be treated with
full-dose acetaminophen and Ibuprofen, again with 2-3-hour separation
between the two medicines, plus a tepid-water sponge bath.
Ask doctor if you can get near one, else you must assess the
risk here.
·
Diarrhea. More liquid loss. Clear liquids only (ORS, juice, Jell-O, Gatorade, 7-Up, tea).
Then crackers, plain white bread, white rice, skinless potato.
Then fruit, chicken noodle soup.
·
Designated Sick-Room. For us, the downstairs guest room,
with connecting bath.
·
Air Flow. Close sick-room doors. Block forced-air vents in sick-room with duct
tape. Use plug-in electric
heater, but keep room cool (limit air circulation, reduce fever). Well family member (if we’re so lucky) sleeps
upstairs and keeps temperature higher there, so airborne virus doesn’t
rise from sick-room up the stairs.
Every house is different--plan your own.
·
Decon Line. Decon line outside closed sick-room door, with
separate shoes for sick-room and for rest of house. Garbage bag for all out-going disposable eating/drinking
utensils, outer garments. Bucket
of disinfectant solution. Take
as little as possible across that decon line, to minimize risk of
carrying virus out. Remember: if all the capable care-givers in the house
get infected and become immobile, everybody’s at far greater risk
of death. Don’t get sloppy
with this. Death
·
Think about what
you will do if there is a pandemic death in the home. Mortuary, funeral and related services may be
overwhelmed quickly. Caskets
may disappear quickly, as in 1918.
Modern society’s legal and financial institutions will require
a death certificate, but societal collapse may not allow for such
niceties in mid-pandemic. Every family is unique. We live in the country, and just might be on
our own out there, too, like our pioneer great grand-parents. A pick, a shovel, and a Bible. UK and Australia plan for mass burials. Not the Eckert family. Life
·
Surviving a pandemic
infection makes you one of the most valuable people in the community.
Go out and volunteer to become a care-giver.
Different from the yet-uninfected, caring for the sick no longer
threatens your life. Become part of the core that saves lives in
the community--that brings the community back.
You will never again have such an opportunity to help others. “In the absence of a pandemic,
almost any preparation will smack of alarmism. But if a pandemic does break out, nothing that has been done will be enough.” -- Tony
Abbott, Australian Minister for Health "Any community that fails to prepare with the expectation
that the
federal government will come to the rescue is tragically wrong."
--
HHS Secretary Michael Leavitt “Self-management and self-reliance will be the
cornerstone.” --President, American College of General
Practitioners Good websites:
www.pandemicpractices.org https://www.intelink.gov/mypage/avianflu
www.pandemicflu.gov http://www.birdflu-manual.com/manual-contents.htm http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/index.html This personal family paper written at
home by: Bill Eckert, billsueeckert@aol.com Any reader is welcome to share it with anyone,
and use/adapt it in any way. Please
share better ideas. |
Below is an article I received written by a medical professional who was working on the coronavirus in the 70s that you may also find useful. Steve McPhail |
Dear Family and Friends, as some of you may recall, when
I was a professor of pathology at the University of California San Diego,
I was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses
(the 1970s). I was the first to demonstrate the number of genes the virus
contained. Since then, I have kept up with the coronavirus field and its
multiple clinical transfers into the human population (e.g., SARS, MERS),
from different animal sources. The current projections for its expansion in the US are only probable, due to continued insufficient worldwide data, but it is most likely to be widespread by mid to late March and April. Here is what I have done and the precautions that I take and will take. These are the same precautions I currently use during our influenza seasons, except for the mask and gloves.: 1) NO HANDSHAKING! Use a fist bump, slight bow, elbow bump, etc. 2) Use ONLY your knuckle to touch light switches. elevator buttons, etc.. Lift the gasoline dispenser with a paper towel or use a disposable glove. 3) Open doors with your closed fist or hip - do not grasp the handle with your hand, unless there is no other way to open the door. Especially important on bathroom and post office/commercial doors. 4) Use disinfectant wipes at the stores when they are available, including wiping the handle and child seat in grocery carts. 5) Wash your hands with soap for 10-20 seconds and/or use a greater than 60% alcohol-based hand sanitizer whenever you return home from ANY activity that involves locations where other people have been. 6) Keep a bottle of sanitizer available at each of your home's entrances. AND in your car for use after getting gas or touching other contaminated objects when you can't immediately wash your hands. 7) If possible, cough or sneeze into a disposable tissue and discard. Use your elbow only if you have to. The clothing on your elbow will contain infectious virus that can be passed on for up to a week or more! What I have stocked in preparation for the pandemic spread to the US: 1) Latex or nitrile latex disposable gloves for use when going shopping, using the gasoline pump, and all other outside activity when you come in contact with contaminated areas. Note: This virus is spread in large droplets by coughing and sneezing. This means that the air will not infect you! BUT all the surfaces where these droplets land are infectious for about a week on average - everything that is associated with infected people will be contaminated and potentially infectious. The virus is on surfaces and you will not be infected unless your unprotected face is directly coughed or sneezed upon. This virus only has cell receptors for lung cells (it only infects your lungs). The only way for the virus to infect you is through your nose or mouth via your hands or an infected cough or sneeze onto or into your nose or mouth. 2) Stock up now with disposable surgical masks and use them to prevent you from touching your nose and/or mouth (We touch our nose/mouth 90X/day without knowing it!). This is the only way this virus can infect you - it is lung-specific. The mask will not prevent the virus in a direct sneeze from getting into your nose or mouth - it is only to keep you from touching your nose or mouth. 3) Stock up now with hand sanitizers and latex/nitrile gloves (get the appropriate sizes for your family). The hand sanitizers must be alcohol-based and greater than 60% alcohol to be effective. 4) Stock up now with zinc lozenges. These lozenges have been proven to be effective in blocking coronavirus (and most other viruses) from multiplying in your throat and nasopharynx. Use as directed several times each day when you begin to feel ANY "cold-like" symptoms beginning. It is best to lie down and let the lozenge dissolve in the back of your throat and nasopharynx. Cold-Eeze lozenges is one brand available, but there are other brands available. I, as many others do, hope that this pandemic will be reasonably contained, BUT I personally do not think it will be. Humans have never seen this snake-associated virus before and have no internal defense against it. Tremendous worldwide efforts are being made to understand the molecular and clinical virology of this virus. Unbelievable molecular knowledge about the genomics, structure, and virulence of this virus has already been achieved. BUT, there will be NO drugs or vaccines available this year to protect us or limit the infection within us. Only symptomatic support is available. I hope these personal thoughts will be helpful during this potentially catastrophic pandemic. Good luck to all of us. James Robb, MD FCAP |